Florida St
W-L: ( 5- 7) PR = 79.4869Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 830 H Alabama SEC (11- 4, 89.4) 31-17 906 H East Tex A&M 77- 3 920 H Kent State MIDA ( 5- 7, 64.2) 66-10 926 A Virginia ACC (11- 3, 84.5) 38-46 1004 H Miami ACC (12- 3, 92.2) 22-28 1011 H Pittsburgh ACC ( 8- 5, 82.9) 31-34 1018 A Stanford ACC ( 4- 8, 74.3) 13-20 1101 H Wake Forest ACC ( 9- 4, 79.2) 42- 7 1108 A Clemson ACC ( 7- 6, 79.3) 10-24 1115 H Va Tech ACC ( 2-10, 71.0) 34-14 1121 A NC St ACC ( 9- 4, 83.0) 11-21 1129 A Florida SEC ( 4- 8, 79.1) 21-40
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
830 H Alabama 31-17 14 -5 +++ 18.65
920 H Kent State 66-10 56 21 0.00
926 A Virginia 38-46 -8 -10 + 2.31
1004 H Miami 22-28 -6 -7 1.45
1011 H Pittsburgh 31-34 -3 2 -- -4.84
1018 A Stanford 13-20 -7 0 --- -6.94
1101 H Wake Forest 42- 7 35 6 +++ 8.43
1108 A Clemson 10-24 -14 -5 --- -8.92
1115 H Va Tech 34-14 20 14 0.25
1121 A NC St 11-21 -10 -9 -1.25
1129 A Florida 21-40 -19 -5 --- -9.14
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1018 A Stanford 13-20 -7 0 --- -6.94 1108 A Clemson 10-24 -14 -5 --- -8.92 1129 A Florida 21-40 -19 -5 --- -9.14 1011 H Pittsburgh 31-34 -3 2 -- -4.84 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 830 H Alabama 31-17 14 -5 +++ 18.65 1101 H Wake Forest 42- 7 35 6 +++ 8.43 926 A Virginia 38-46 -8 -10 + 2.31 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 12.75
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
0 H Alabama (11- 4, 89.4) 31-17 -10.51 40.71 -5.26 1.16 82.19
0 H Kent State ( 5- 7, 64.2) 66-10 -35.66 15.56 -5.26 1.16 23.88
0 A Virginia (11- 3, 84.5) 38-46 -15.36 35.86 5.26 1.16 -5.85
0 H Miami (12- 3, 92.2) 22-28 -7.71 43.51 -5.26 1.16 -7.52
0 H Pittsburgh ( 8- 5, 82.9) 31-34 -16.99 34.23 -5.26 1.16 -12.90
0 A Stanford ( 4- 8, 74.3) 13-20 -25.61 25.61 5.26 1.16 -11.79
0 H Wake Forest ( 9- 4, 79.2) 42- 7 -20.73 30.49 -5.26 1.16 58.49
0 A Clemson ( 7- 6, 79.3) 10-24 -20.59 30.63 5.26 1.16 -8.89
0 H Va Tech ( 2-10, 71.0) 34-14 -28.90 22.32 -5.26 1.16 39.54
0 A NC St ( 9- 4, 83.0) 11-21 -16.92 34.30 5.26 1.16 -6.76
0 A Florida ( 4- 8, 79.1) 21-40 -20.81 30.41 5.26 1.16 -9.01
------
141.38
|
winning pts = 204.0990 losing points = -62.7161
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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